EU Re-dresses it's Policy...
European union for the past few years
was having a inflation rate around 0.5% which is far below the acceptable level.
Indians would believe that it is good for the country as they know the
suffering of a 10% inflation rate. Well we should not forget that some level of
inflation is desirable for the country. It is so because such a low level of
inflation leads to lower prices and producers are not encouraged to produce; as to why a producer should produce to sell it at such a low price which
will not let him make a good chunk of profits. So it reduces investments in
country and country goes into slumber. EU was experiencing the same slumber for
quite a few years. So it was a high time for EU's central to take some
extraordinary measures to gain the confidence of producers.
To ensure it EU has decreased it's
interest rate to a negative which means people will have to pay money to banks
to deposit their money with them. It will increase liquidity in the markets and people will have
no option other than spending the money or investing their money. Both these
things may bring back the lost confidence in EU.
It will lead to depreciation of the
euro which will make the EU's export more competitive in the international
markets and hence increase the demand of EU's goods further. Further injecting nitro fuel in the slagged production cycle.
Well the effect of such a very very
soft or easy monetary policy may go even other way around. As such an easy
monetary policy might lead to investors taking highly risky ventures which may
not yield returns and might lead to breakdown of the financial structure and
banking crises.
But many critics are taking it as a positive
step as they believe, that the advantages due to such a policy far outweighs the
drawbacks and hence net effect would be positive.
But we Indians will also have to be
cautious about the unprecedented flow of money in the stock markets to get
higher profits which might make our economy volatile. But on a positive note it
will also increase the demand of the Indian exports in EU.
But all these are assumptions and we
cannot expect constancy in human behavior as it fluctuates now and then and we never know which direction it
takes in future.
So India should follow a wait and watch
policy in the background of the EU policy.
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